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polymarketmacroResolves December 31, 2026
Fed emergency rate cut before 2027?
Trade on PolymarketMarket12¢
Edge Finder23¢
+11¢ EDGEhigh
The Fed is likely to maintain a stable interest rate trajectory barring unforeseen economic turmoil, diminishing the probability of an emergency rate cut before 2027.
Market price
12¢
AI fair value
23¢
Edge
+11¢
Confidence
HIGH
▲ BULLISH · YES at 12¢
Upside if right
+88¢
Downside if wrong
-12¢
Expected value
+11¢
Thesis breaks if
A sudden major economic downturn or global geopolitical crisis like a prolonged war could lead to unexpected emergency actions.
Key Dates
Invalid DateFOMC Meeting - Rates Steady — Signals stability in monetary policy
This is AI-generated research. Not financial advice. Always do your own research.